Thursday, June 2, 2022

The Truth About Lying

Lying and politics seem to go hand-in-hand, and everyone seems to just accept that fact.  According to Forbes magazine in 2019, members of Congress (Politicians) were the least trusted profession in America by a wide margin.  According to Forbes, 58% of the country believe that these politicians have either low or very low levels of honesty.  That number trounced the second least trusted profession, car sales people, by 14 percentage points as they were mistrusted by 44% of the country.  Politicians are clearly in a league of their own when it comes to lying.

And of course, there are many ways to lie.  Politicians can lie right to our faces like when Richard Nixon vowed that he had no knowledge of the Watergate coverup.  Then we had Bill Clinton promise that he, “never had sex with that woman” and Barack Obama assured us that, “if you like your (insurance) plan, you can keep it” which earned him 4 Pinocchios from the Washington Post.  These are just a few examples of in-your-face lies, which is child’s play when it comes to the true masters of this art.  Politicians have figured out how to deceive us even when they are stating facts.  Let me give you a few recent examples.

Today, there is a great debate about why our gas prices are so high.  Many believe it is because the current administration is strangling our oil industry in their misguided (in my opinion) transition out of fossil fuels.  I was sitting on my couch watching the news when I heard the President say that we are producing more oil today than in President Trump’s first year in office.  That sounded like an odd comparison to me.  First of all, that was over four years ago, and in any President’s first term that person’s results are mostly driven by the policies of his or her predecessor.  So, I looked into it.

And in fact, that statement is correct.  In January of 2017, we as a country were producing 8.9 million barrels of oil a day, and today we are producing about 11.5 million barrels a day.  The impression he was trying to give was that he was maximizing our efforts to produce oil now to bring down prices of gasoline here in the US and around the world.  However, in January of 2021, at the end of Trump’s Presidency, our oil industry was producing over 13.1 million barrels per day.  So, we are, in fact, producing LESS oil today than at the END of Trump’s Presidency at a time when we should be producing more.  Clever deception!

When it comes to job creation, we are constantly being told that this administration has created more jobs in its first year than any other Presidential administration in American history.  While it is true that the 14.1 million jobs created in 2021 was far more than any other year in American history.  What they don’t remind you of is that in the year before (2020) we knowingly vaporized over 20.1 million jobs as we closed down restaurants, gyms and thousands of nonessential small businesses in an attempt to curb the impact of the pandemic.  The real truth is that any President who took office in 2021 would “create” (really replace) millions of jobs as we reopened our economy.  In fact, you could argue that the 14.1 million jobs created could have been even higher with different policies, but they are not going to tell you that, of course.  Slick deception.  

Finally, we must talk about the pride that this administration is taking in their deficit reduction results.  Is it true that our national deficit went down in 2021 vs 2020?  This would suggest that this administration is being fiscally conservative.  But we have to look deeper at all the facts before we make an intelligent judgement.  In Trump’s first three years, our deficit averaged about $800 billion a year and his worst year was $984 billion.  In 2020 our country’s deficit was $3,132 billion as Trump tried to fight the pandemic and keep our citizens out of bread lines as we shut down our economy.  Billions were spent on project Warp Speed, replacing and creating Personal Protective Equipment (PPE), the Paycheck Protection Plan (PPP) and an extension and enhancement of unemployment benefits.  In Joe Biden’s first year in office our deficit was $2,772 billion, only a $360 billion reduction compared to the actual year of the pandemic, and he wanted to spend TRILLIONS more on his Build Back Better (Broke) plan.  This is hardly fiscal conservatism, although that’s what he is trying to get us to believe.  Whoever is writing Joe Biden’s speeches is a real master of the art of deceiving with the facts.

I won’t even get into the data gymnastics that Secretary Mayorkas is employing to suggest that our southern border is closed while over two million illegal aliens will cross into The United States each year in his first two years. Those two years will each represent all-time records, smashing the past record by almost 25%. Here is a couple of real facts.  Our politicians will lie right to our faces, so be on the lookout for that.  Also, they will tell you the truth and suggest improper conclusions to those facts.  This is more difficult to identify, but unfortunately that is the challenge they constantly give us.

 

8 comments:

  1. Of course Biden is taking credit for worldwide economic trends. We've created this belief, in both parties, that Presidents control this kind of thing. It's wrong, it's bipartisan, and it should be rejected. The problem is for the majority of voters, they buy into it when the numbers help their guy, and reject them when it doesn't. It's not a lie per se, any more than it was a lie when Trump was taking credit for the stock market gains. They can always say one policy or another goosed it and it's arguably true to a very limited extent.

    But Presidents simply don't control a worldwide economy, and there are hardly any actions they can unilaterally take short of declaring war that can immediately change the economic numbers. Probably none in the long term.

    What's even funnier is when our state legislators take credit for global economic trends, which you'll see in Arkansas. They're all happy to take credit for the low unemployment, but the high gas prices have nothing to do with them. It's pathetic, but they do it because it works. Which is a reflection on us.

    As for the border, it's so weird to see Republicans complaining about border enforcement working. It's one of those "we're going to bitch no matter what happens" kind of issues. And you wonder why we can't make progress on immigration.

    As far as the oil industry, the price of a barrel of oil went negative during Trump's term, which is why he was begging the Saudis to cut production and increase gas prices here in the US. Putting aside the wisdom of that action, when it did drop that low, wells were shuttered, rigs were put down, etc. Oil industry being cyclical, prices have jumped, etc. and now there aren't enough rigs or manpower to re-open or drill new ones that make sense at this price. Or labor to work them! Forget on federal lands, there aren't enough to do it on the private lands alone where the vast majority of oil wells are.

    What would help all our economic literacy is if we looked at the economy outside the partisan lens. For example, when gas prices were low here in the US they were low in lots of countries. When they climb, they climb worldwide. More broad thinking would allow for solutions and policies that aren't built solely on gotcha politics.

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  2. Matt, You are amazing. Your reply has literally nothing to do with my article. My facts - US oil production, job creation and loss, deficit numbers - are just facts. You didn't challenge any of those facts.

    Your article should stand on its own and I encourage my readers to respond to it, although I'm not sure what your overall point is.

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    1. I wasn't trying to dispute you. I was adding to your thoughts, some of which were good points. I agree with you we should stop giving politicians so much credit/blame for worldwide economic trends they have little control over.

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    2. I think we can all agree, for example, that other than the COVID years, the economy has been on a relatively consistent steady upward trend post the 2008-10 recession. Regardless of who occupied the Oval Office or controlled Congress.

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    3. Wow, I'm saving this comment!! Thanks.

      Yes, we had positive growth from 2010 to 2019. It did, however, grow faster from 2017 to 2019.

      I also agree that you have to take the Covid affect out of this analysis. Jobs and GDP fell dramatically as we closed the economy and deficits went up. On the other side, jobs and GDP were going to grow as we opened up the economy and deficits were going to go down no matter who was President.

      I hope you also agree with my main point which is that politicians (notice I didn't specify a certain party) and media can state facts and deceive the public at the same time.

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    4. GDP growth? It was not faster from 2017-2019. Highest growth of the last 10 years was 2018, second highest was 2015. After that 2012, 2014, 2017 and 2019 were all tied.

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  3. Interesting thing about politics and truth is that most of what politicians say is not under oath. There's no penalty for lying to you, and no one to ask them to explain it. Right now and over the next couple weeks a hearing is going on in the House of Representatives. Testimony is being heard that was given under oath, and under penalty of perjury.

    It will be very interesting to see what is said by people under oath, and how it contrasts with those not under oath. It is also very interesting to see who has refused to go under oath and speak about things they were witnesses to, or even explain their own text messages.

    If, as Kevin does, you value truth, you'll want to watch what people say when there's the criminal or civil penalty of perjury hanging over them. You might be surprised at how it differs from the speeches.

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  4. Be honest, if your parents were needing your help to get into a senior care facility would you put them in a home who does not want them or does not have the resources to care for them? May I assume you would not do that? Now why are you celebrating putting babies into homes who do not want them and quite often do not have the resources to raise them properly. This blog is about finding positive solutions, please find a positive solution for this. A real solution, not one where you can say a solution but their is no real change for any child about to be born.

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